Trump<\/a> is earning 79.5% of the Republican base, a slippage that was also witnessed by other MAGA candidates in Arizona in 2022. Essential independent and unaffiliated voters are also initially breaking by about 7.2 points for Harris.<\/em><\/p>\nHarris earns support from a majority of female voters (51% Harris\/36% Trump) while Trump holds a ten point lead among male voters (37.2% Harris\/47.7% Trump). Harris is earning significant support among younger voters, while Trump\u2019s largest strong hold is among voters ages 50-64. Both candidates are split evenly among Arizona\u2019s incredibly important 65 and older demographic.<\/em><\/p>\nIn the Senate race, Rep. Ruben Gallego leads Kari Lake by 11 points (rounded up: 50%-39%).<\/p>\n
Arizona has been a target for Trump in the general election. The state is one of the main reasons that he has been hammering away at immigration and the border as his top issue.<\/p>\n
Trump needs Arizona. Harris has multiple paths to the White House open to her. She can go through the Sunbelt by winning Arizona, Nevada, and Georgia along with one of Michigan, Wisconsin, or Pennsylvania, or she can win Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. If Trump loses Arizona, he would have to win both Georgia and Pennsylvania to hit 270 Electoral College votes.<\/p>\n
It is a good sign for Democrats that the Harris momentum is starting to show up in critical swing state polls like Arizona.<\/p>\n
Author: Jason Easley<\/p>\n
Source: https:\/\/www.politicususa.com\/2024\/08\/08\/kamala-harris-arizona-poll.html<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
A new poll from Arizona found that Kamala Harris holds a 44%-41% lead over Donald Trump in the critical swing state. AZ Highground wrote about their poll: In the race […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1202,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","_EventAllDay":false,"_EventTimezone":"","_EventStartDate":"","_EventEndDate":"","_EventStartDateUTC":"","_EventEndDateUTC":"","_EventShowMap":false,"_EventShowMapLink":false,"_EventURL":"","_EventCost":"","_EventCostDescription":"","_EventCurrencySymbol":"","_EventCurrencyCode":"","_EventCurrencyPosition":"","_EventDateTimeSeparator":"","_EventTimeRangeSeparator":"","_EventOrganizerID":[],"_EventVenueID":[],"_OrganizerEmail":"","_OrganizerPhone":"","_OrganizerWebsite":"","_VenueAddress":"","_VenueCity":"","_VenueCountry":"","_VenueProvince":"","_VenueState":"","_VenueZip":"","_VenuePhone":"","_VenueURL":"","_VenueStateProvince":"","_VenueLat":"","_VenueLng":"","_VenueShowMap":false,"_VenueShowMapLink":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1198","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-elections"],"_wp_page_template":null,"_form":null,"_mail":null,"_mail_2":null,"_messages":null,"_additional_settings":null,"_locale":null,"_hash":null,"_wp_attached_file":null,"_wp_attachment_metadata":null,"_menu_item_type":null,"_menu_item_menu_item_parent":null,"_menu_item_object_id":null,"_menu_item_object":null,"_menu_item_target":null,"_menu_item_classes":null,"_menu_item_xfn":null,"_menu_item_url":null,"_wp_attachment_context":null,"_thumbnail_id":"1202","newscrunch_views":"255","_yoast_wpseo_primary_category":"","_yoast_wpseo_schema_article_type":null,"_wp_attachment_is_custom_background":null,"_wp_desired_post_slug":null,"_customize_restore_dismissed":null,"_edit_last":"1","_edit_lock":"1723145414:1","newscrunch_site_layout":"","newscrunch_page_sidebar":"sidebar-1","newscrunch_page_left_sidebar":"left-sidebar","_wp_trash_meta_status":null,"_wp_trash_meta_time":null,"newscrunch_post_video_embed":"","_custom_header_image_id":"","_yoast_wpseo_estimated-reading-time-minutes":"2","yoast_head":"\r\n
Kamala Harris Takes The Lead Over Trump In Arizona - The America Project<\/title>\r\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\r\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/2024\/08\/08\/kamala-harris-takes-the-lead-over-trump-in-arizona\/\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Kamala Harris Takes The Lead Over Trump In Arizona - The America Project\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A new poll from Arizona found that Kamala Harris holds a 44%-41% lead over Donald Trump in the critical swing state. AZ Highground wrote about their poll: In the race […]\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/2024\/08\/08\/kamala-harris-takes-the-lead-over-trump-in-arizona\/\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The America Project\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-08-08T17:43:49+00:00\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-08-08T19:32:33+00:00\" \/>\r\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Harris-ftn.jpg\" \/>\r\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"600\" \/>\r\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"250\" \/>\r\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\r\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"admin\" \/>\r\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\r\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\r\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/2024\/08\/08\/kamala-harris-takes-the-lead-over-trump-in-arizona\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/2024\/08\/08\/kamala-harris-takes-the-lead-over-trump-in-arizona\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/#\/schema\/person\/519dfa5ecab3511197f07a71a8e3ea92\"},\"headline\":\"Kamala Harris Takes The Lead Over Trump In Arizona\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-08-08T17:43:49+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-08-08T19:32:33+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/2024\/08\/08\/kamala-harris-takes-the-lead-over-trump-in-arizona\/\"},\"wordCount\":318,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/2024\/08\/08\/kamala-harris-takes-the-lead-over-trump-in-arizona\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Harris-ftn.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Elections\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/2024\/08\/08\/kamala-harris-takes-the-lead-over-trump-in-arizona\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/2024\/08\/08\/kamala-harris-takes-the-lead-over-trump-in-arizona\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/2024\/08\/08\/kamala-harris-takes-the-lead-over-trump-in-arizona\/\",\"name\":\"Kamala Harris Takes The Lead Over Trump In Arizona - The America Project\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/2024\/08\/08\/kamala-harris-takes-the-lead-over-trump-in-arizona\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/2024\/08\/08\/kamala-harris-takes-the-lead-over-trump-in-arizona\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Harris-ftn.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-08-08T17:43:49+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-08-08T19:32:33+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/2024\/08\/08\/kamala-harris-takes-the-lead-over-trump-in-arizona\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/2024\/08\/08\/kamala-harris-takes-the-lead-over-trump-in-arizona\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/2024\/08\/08\/kamala-harris-takes-the-lead-over-trump-in-arizona\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Harris-ftn.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Harris-ftn.jpg\",\"width\":600,\"height\":250},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/2024\/08\/08\/kamala-harris-takes-the-lead-over-trump-in-arizona\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Kamala Harris Takes The Lead Over Trump In Arizona\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/\",\"name\":\"The America Project\",\"description\":\"Remember who we are\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/#organization\",\"name\":\"The America Project\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/cropped-substack_email_header.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/cropped-substack_email_header.png\",\"width\":1100,\"height\":220,\"caption\":\"The America Project\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\"}},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/#\/schema\/person\/519dfa5ecab3511197f07a71a8e3ea92\",\"name\":\"admin\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/be3296ac5389aa48488f2d36be8a5e9b0e292e16ebf32e7229b0013c6c44c3a6?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/be3296ac5389aa48488f2d36be8a5e9b0e292e16ebf32e7229b0013c6c44c3a6?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"admin\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/america-project.org\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/author\/mb1096\/\"}]}<\/script>\r\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Kamala Harris Takes The Lead Over Trump In Arizona - The America Project","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/2024\/08\/08\/kamala-harris-takes-the-lead-over-trump-in-arizona\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Kamala Harris Takes The Lead Over Trump In Arizona - The America Project","og_description":"A new poll from Arizona found that Kamala Harris holds a 44%-41% lead over Donald Trump in the critical swing state. AZ Highground wrote about their poll: In the race […]","og_url":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/2024\/08\/08\/kamala-harris-takes-the-lead-over-trump-in-arizona\/","og_site_name":"The America Project","article_published_time":"2024-08-08T17:43:49+00:00","article_modified_time":"2024-08-08T19:32:33+00:00","og_image":[{"width":600,"height":250,"url":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Harris-ftn.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"admin","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"admin","Est. reading time":"2 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/2024\/08\/08\/kamala-harris-takes-the-lead-over-trump-in-arizona\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/2024\/08\/08\/kamala-harris-takes-the-lead-over-trump-in-arizona\/"},"author":{"name":"admin","@id":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/#\/schema\/person\/519dfa5ecab3511197f07a71a8e3ea92"},"headline":"Kamala Harris Takes The Lead Over Trump In Arizona","datePublished":"2024-08-08T17:43:49+00:00","dateModified":"2024-08-08T19:32:33+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/2024\/08\/08\/kamala-harris-takes-the-lead-over-trump-in-arizona\/"},"wordCount":318,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/2024\/08\/08\/kamala-harris-takes-the-lead-over-trump-in-arizona\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Harris-ftn.jpg","articleSection":["Elections"],"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/2024\/08\/08\/kamala-harris-takes-the-lead-over-trump-in-arizona\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/2024\/08\/08\/kamala-harris-takes-the-lead-over-trump-in-arizona\/","url":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/2024\/08\/08\/kamala-harris-takes-the-lead-over-trump-in-arizona\/","name":"Kamala Harris Takes The Lead Over Trump In Arizona - The America Project","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/2024\/08\/08\/kamala-harris-takes-the-lead-over-trump-in-arizona\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/2024\/08\/08\/kamala-harris-takes-the-lead-over-trump-in-arizona\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Harris-ftn.jpg","datePublished":"2024-08-08T17:43:49+00:00","dateModified":"2024-08-08T19:32:33+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/2024\/08\/08\/kamala-harris-takes-the-lead-over-trump-in-arizona\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/2024\/08\/08\/kamala-harris-takes-the-lead-over-trump-in-arizona\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/2024\/08\/08\/kamala-harris-takes-the-lead-over-trump-in-arizona\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Harris-ftn.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Harris-ftn.jpg","width":600,"height":250},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/2024\/08\/08\/kamala-harris-takes-the-lead-over-trump-in-arizona\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Kamala Harris Takes The Lead Over Trump In Arizona"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/#website","url":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/","name":"The America Project","description":"Remember who we are","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/#organization","name":"The America Project","url":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/cropped-substack_email_header.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/cropped-substack_email_header.png","width":1100,"height":220,"caption":"The America Project"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"}},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/#\/schema\/person\/519dfa5ecab3511197f07a71a8e3ea92","name":"admin","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/be3296ac5389aa48488f2d36be8a5e9b0e292e16ebf32e7229b0013c6c44c3a6?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/be3296ac5389aa48488f2d36be8a5e9b0e292e16ebf32e7229b0013c6c44c3a6?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"admin"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/america-project.org"],"url":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/author\/mb1096\/"}]}},"uagb_featured_image_src":{"full":["https:\/\/america-project.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Harris-ftn.jpg",600,250,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/america-project.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Harris-ftn-150x150.jpg",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/america-project.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Harris-ftn-300x125.jpg",300,125,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/america-project.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Harris-ftn.jpg",600,250,false],"large":["https:\/\/america-project.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Harris-ftn.jpg",600,250,false],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/america-project.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Harris-ftn.jpg",600,250,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/america-project.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Harris-ftn.jpg",600,250,false]},"uagb_author_info":{"display_name":"admin","author_link":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/author\/mb1096\/"},"uagb_comment_info":13,"uagb_excerpt":"A new poll from Arizona found that Kamala Harris holds a 44%-41% lead over Donald Trump in the critical swing state. AZ Highground wrote about their poll: In the race […]","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1198","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1198"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1198\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1203,"href":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1198\/revisions\/1203"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1202"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1198"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1198"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/america-project.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1198"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}